Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 73.473002 82.679305 92.117048 102.483631 113.519470 124.887339 137.452872
2025-03-16 58.668457 71.745665 85.780504 101.834039 119.564614 138.434965 159.924265
2025-03-23 50.920790 66.261423 83.282629 103.305001 125.964249 150.587014 179.146285
2025-03-30 45.305320 62.318330 81.751925 105.156778 132.174641 162.021770 197.135977
2025-04-06 39.422933 57.367869 78.466338 104.456850 135.019729 169.294088 210.131931
2025-04-13 33.645685 51.957148 74.137460 102.082957 135.539820 173.598289 219.484697
2025-04-20 31.535965 50.904698 74.882111 105.578414 142.788776 185.529886 237.472957
2025-04-27 29.111019 49.201277 74.630622 107.707442 148.293669 195.349947 252.970927
2025-05-04 25.809723 46.037503 72.303682 107.082682 150.330646 200.982160 263.508532
2025-05-11 22.752796 42.937432 69.842387 106.103664 151.784822 205.807273 273.007608
2025-05-18 20.678890 41.046805 68.827634 106.840910 155.254645 212.970047 285.216091
2025-05-25 18.383802 38.627092 66.947111 106.333958 157.078016 218.079351 294.934501
2025-06-01 16.620464 36.888054 65.928106 106.924325 160.293271 224.929691 306.831229
2025-06-08 14.478178 34.353654 63.655262 105.743629 161.186263 228.898901 315.246211
2025-06-15 13.352622 33.357447 63.490282 107.326782 165.567587 237.124198 328.785448
2025-06-22 12.409431 32.576801 63.577190 109.209189 170.309505 245.785986 342.860223
2025-06-29 10.884956 30.629178 61.834317 108.495028 171.616506 250.140375 351.663728
2025-07-06 9.116799 28.023139 58.947449 106.066036 170.579118 251.492125 356.735677
2025-07-13 8.845871 28.211208 60.332399 109.642083 177.474679 262.821348 374.089841
2025-07-20 8.296660 27.798203 60.746851 111.819639 182.505087 271.802154 388.565156
2025-07-27 7.231967 26.220403 59.238176 111.180678 183.729235 275.935805 397.032783
2025-08-03 6.208528 24.579187 57.530569 110.179338 184.410872 279.341265 404.571302
2025-08-10 5.582667 23.719545 57.049127 110.933401 187.444913 285.740569 415.835912